Same Birthday Problem

Let k equal the number of people.

The probability that none of these k people have the same birthday is:


This solution does not take into account people that were born on February 29. And, this solution assumes that in the population of interest, an equal number of people have birthdays on each of the 365 days of the year, and the group of people at hand represents a random sample from that population.

Here are the results. If you take (1 - the probability displayed), that's the probability that there is AT LEAST one duplicate birthday in the group.

Number of People and the Probability None Have the Same Birthday

2people 0.99726027397260

3people 0.99179583411522

4people 0.98364408753345

5people 0.97286442630021

6people 0.95953751635089

7people 0.94376429690402

8people 0.92566470764833

9people 0.90537616611083

10people 0.88305182228892

11people 0.85885862167827

12people 0.83297521116194

13people 0.80558972476757

14people 0.77689748799503

15people 0.74709868023631

16people 0.71639599474715

17people 0.68499233470344

18people 0.65308858212821

19people 0.62088147396846

20people 0.58856161641942

21people 0.55631166483479

22people 0.52430469233745

23people 0.49270276567602

24people 0.46165574208547

25people 0.43130029603054

25people 0.40175917986406

27people 0.37314071773676

28people 0.34553852765760

29people 0.31903146252222

30people 0.29368375728073

31people 0.26954536627136

32people 0.24665247214968

33people 0.22502814582423

34people 0.20468313537985

35people 0.18561676112529

36people 0.16781789362012

37people 0.15126599178361

38people 0.13593217891788

39people 0.12178033563328

40people 0.10876819018205

41people 0.09684838851827

42people 0.08596952843813

43people 0.07607714434388

44people 0.06711463144857

45people 0.05902410053423

46people 0.05174715663274

47people 0.04522559716670

48people 0.03940202712058

49people 0.03422039067732

50people 0.02962642042201

51people 0.02556800666557

52people 0.02199549066572

53people 0.01886188651609

54people 0.01612303724115

55people 0.01373771118355

56people 0.01166764511480

57people 0.00987754065883

58people 0.00833502061074

59people 0.00701055158218

60people 0.00587733913465

61people 0.00491120119471

62people 0.00409042510463

63people 0.00339561316905

64people 0.00280952103302

65people 0.00231689268751

66people 0.00190429535960

67people 0.00155995702060

68people 0.00127360874559

69people 0.00103633369161

70people 0.00084042403484

71people 0.00067924682268

72people 0.00054711935854

73people 0.00043919444398

74people 0.00035135555519

75people 0.00028012182619

76people 0.00022256254683

77people 0.00017622075626

78people 0.00013904541864

79people 0.00010933160315

80people 0.00008566805069

81people 0.00006689149163

82people 0.00005204707842

83people 0.00004035431012

84people 0.00003117785056

85people 0.00002400267399

86people 0.00001841301018

87people 0.00001407460231

88people 0.00001071983408

89people 0.00000813532614

90people 0.00000615164388

91people 0.00000463480018

92people 0.00000347927466

93people 0.00000260230680

94people 0.00000193925328

95people 0.00000143982915

96people 0.00000106507910

97people 7.84948705257e-7

98people 5.76345898673e-7

99people 4.21600972467e-7

100people 3.07248927855e-7

101people 2.23071139449e-7

102people 1.61344605010e-7

103people 1.16256523630e-7

104people 8.34498882218e-8

105people 5.96723858104e-8

106people 4.25063569898e-8

107people 3.01620450838e-8

108people 2.13200208599e-8

109people 1.50116311604e-8

110people 1.05287056851e-8

111people 7.35567107224e-9

112people 5.11874098663e-9

113people 3.54805884673e-9

114people 2.44961873008e-9

115people 1.68453229143e-9

116people 1.15378928633e-9

117people 7.8710560292e-10

118people 5.3480053719e-10

119people 3.6190617170e-10

120people 2.4391488829e-10

121people 1.6372370126e-10

122people 1.0944822826e-10

123people 7.2865491418e-11

124people 4.8310799805e-11

125people 3.1898372832e-11

126people 2.0974222359e-11

127people 1.3733791882e-11

128people 8.9551699389e-12

129people 5.8146820692e-12

130people 3.7596592506e-12

131people 2.4206192606e-12

132people 1.5518697438e-12

133people 9.9065200487e-13

134people 6.2971849957e-13

135people 3.9857006584e-13

136people 2.5113244817e-13

137people 1.5754064719e-13

138people 9.8365759982e-14

139people 6.1173288657e-14

140people 3.7858605140e-14

141people 2.3314683517e-14

142people 1.4321877018e-14

143people 8.7707618945e-15

144people 5.3290705182e-15

145people 3.2266426973e-15

146people 1.9448257354e-15

147people 1.1668954412e-15

148people 6.9694029092e-16

149people 4.1434532364e-16

150people 2.4520161618e-16

151people 1.4443382871e-16

152people 8.4681751628e-17

153people 4.9417022183e-17

154people 2.8702489597e-17

155people 1.6592398096e-17

156people 9.5463112331e-18

157people 5.4662439663e-18

158people 3.1150102603e-18

159people 1.7665948599e-18

160people 9.9703709903e-19

161people 5.5997974055e-19

162people 3.1297497828e-19

163people 1.7406553587e-19

164people 9.6332159575e-20

165people 5.3048668697e-20

166people 2.9067763670e-20

167people 1.5847904028e-20

168people 8.5969451989e-21

169people 4.6399950799e-21

170people 2.4916137963e-21

171people 1.3311361378e-21

172people 7.0750797460e-22

173people 3.7410695643e-22

174people 1.9679050859e-22

175people 1.0297804696e-22

176people 5.3605010746e-23

177people 2.7757115154e-23

178people 1.4296815476e-23

179people 7.3246698468e-24

180people 3.7325714836e-24

181people 1.8918512999e-24

182people 9.5370038132e-25

183people 4.7815662954e-25

184people 2.3842330569e-25

185people 1.1823183104e-25

186people 5.8306108458e-26

187people 2.8593954559e-26

188people 1.3944449072e-26

189people 6.7621027009e-27

190people 3.2606303434e-27

191people 1.5633159181e-27

192people 7.4525197191e-28

193people 3.5322901682e-28

194people 1.6645312574e-28

195people 7.7982149317e-29

196people 3.6320453107e-29

197people 1.6816867329e-29

198people 7.7403663322e-30

199people 3.5414826780e-30

200people 1.6106469166e-30

201people 7.2810066092e-31

202people 3.2714659833e-31

203people 1.4609560419e-31

204people 6.4842432543e-32

205people 2.8601730519e-32

206people 1.2537744885e-32

207people 5.4616477718e-33

208people 2.3642201314e-33

209people 1.0169385223e-33

210people 4.3463673828e-34

211people 1.8457176557e-34

212people 7.7874114789e-35

213people 3.2643122090e-35

214people 1.3593848103e-35

215people 5.6237563385e-36

216people 2.3111327419e-36

217people 9.4344870832e-37

218people 3.8254906529e-37

219people 1.5406770575e-37

220people 6.1627082299e-38

221people 2.4481991598e-38

222people 9.6586487401e-39

223people 3.7840733420e-39

224people 1.4721600399e-39

225people 5.6869744008e-40

226people 2.1813052496e-40

227people 8.3068884848e-41

228people 3.1406866052e-41

229people 1.1788330546e-41

230people 4.3923642581e-42

231people 1.6245730818e-42

232people 5.9641861084e-43

233people 2.1732513765e-43

234people 7.8594296355e-44

235people 2.8207815952e-44

236people 1.0046619380e-44

237people 3.5507230138e-45

238people 1.2451850569e-45

239people 4.3325617048e-46

240people 1.4956240406e-46

241people 5.1220001389e-47

242people 1.7400767595e-47

243people 5.8638203129e-48

244people 1.9599618580e-48

245people 6.4974078033e-49

246people 2.1361340723e-49

247people 6.9643823180e-50

248people 2.2514989411e-50

249people 7.2171335922e-51

250people 2.2936643745e-51

251people 7.2266137827e-52

252people 2.2570793732e-52

253people 6.9876703883e-53

254people 2.1441618726e-53

255people 6.5206018591e-54

256people 1.9651128890e-54

257people 5.8684193125e-55

258people 1.7364090020e-55

259people 5.0902948827e-56

260people 1.4782774180e-56

261people 4.2525788737e-57

262people 1.2116937065e-57

263people 3.4193000484e-58

264people 9.5553042448e-59

265people 2.6440704897e-59

266people 7.2440287388e-60

267people 1.9648187538e-60

268people 5.2754037774e-61

269people 1.4019566203e-61

270people 3.6873379602e-62

271people 9.5971809923e-63

272people 2.4716027761e-63

273people 6.2975084432e-64

274people 1.5873171966e-64

275people 3.9574209560e-65

276people 9.7580242751e-66

277people 2.3793538643e-66

278people 5.7365243853e-67

279people 1.3673359494e-67

280people 3.2216682643e-68

281people 7.5025151359e-69

282people 1.7266062231e-69

283people 3.9262552470e-70

284people 8.8206282261e-71

285people 1.9574544830e-71

286people 4.2903111957e-72

287people 9.2858790264e-73

288people 1.9843796276e-73

289people 4.1862255157e-74

290people 8.7165243614e-75

291people 1.7910666496e-75

292people 3.6312036184e-76

293people 7.2624072367e-77

294people 1.4325844412e-77

295people 2.7866711048e-78

296people 5.3443007490e-79

297people 1.0102924704e-79

298people 1.8821887119e-80

299people 3.4549765396e-81

300people 6.2473548388e-82

301people 1.1125426425e-82

302people 1.9507597020e-83

303people 3.3670646911e-84

304people 5.7193975574e-85

305people 9.5584452330e-86

306people 1.5712512712e-86

307people 2.5398308219e-87

308people 4.0358955526e-88

309people 6.3026314109e-89

310people 9.6697906578e-90

311people 1.4570917430e-90

312people 2.1556973731e-91

313people 3.1301907062e-92

314people 4.4594497732e-93

315people 6.2310120119e-94

316people 8.5356328930e-95

317people 1.1458794843e-95

318people 1.5069100067e-96

319people 1.9404046662e-97

320people 2.4454414971e-98

321people 3.0149278731e-99

322people 3.634433600e-100

323people 4.281661502e-101

324people 4.926843372e-102

325people 5.534262418e-103

326people 6.064945116e-104

327people 6.480352315e-105

328people 6.746668164e-106

329people 6.839088276e-107

330people 6.745402135e-108

331people 6.468193828e-109

332people 6.025166854e-110

333people 5.447411128e-111

334people 4.775812496e-112

335people 4.056169517e-113

336people 3.333837959e-114

337people 2.648802762e-115

338people 2.031958283e-116

339people 1.503092429e-117

340people 1.070695977e-118

341people 7.333534086e-120

342people 4.822049810e-121

343people 3.038551935e-122

344people 1.831455961e-123

345people 1.053714388e-124

346people 5.773777471e-126

347people 3.005527999e-127

348people 1.482178191e-128

349people 6.903295684e-130

350people 3.026102218e-131

351people 1.243603651e-132

352people 4.769986607e-134

353people 1.698899340e-135

354people 5.585422486e-137

355people 1.683278010e-138

356people 4.611720574e-140

357people 1.137136580e-141

358people 2.492354148e-143

359people 4.779857270e-145

360people 7.857299621e-147

361people 1.076342414e-148

362people 1.179553330e-150

363people 9.694958879e-153

364people 5.312306235e-155

365people 1.455426366e-157

366people 0